Stock Market Simulation Game
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Do you play games? I do. Stock market
games
that is.
Here is a stock market game you will love and not
only that, it will give you a great insight into the phrases "expectancy",
"draw-downs" and "position sizing".
What is the expectancy of your trading system?
Expectancy is how many times you expect your trading
method to give you a profit. Once you realize the average parameters of your
trading method not only does making money in the stock market become almost
"scientific" it will reduce your stress and have you trading in a professional
manner.
Here's the game:
Cut out 100 small blocks of white paper. Make them all the same size
and just large enough to write two figures on them.
Write on the blocks in this order:
3 = 10W
7 = 5W
40 = 2W
10 = Nil
35 = 2L
4 = 5L
1 = 10L
So what this no represents is you M.S.T.S. in a statistical form.
Fold all the pieces of paper and place into a hat.
Get a piece of paper and write $10,000 on the top of that paper. This
is your trading account.
Now write down "each trade is done with $2,500"
Stop loss is a t 8% = $200
Write down "trade 1 =.........." Draw your first random piece of
paper from the hat.
Read it. Let's say you had some REALLY bad luck and draw out a 5L
paper. This represents a trade where you had to exit at a 5 * stop loss.
Your first trade was a 5L loss = 5 * $200 = $1,000
Your total trading portfolio is now: $9,000
Your position sizing is $2,250
Stop loss = $180
Do it again.
This time you hit a winner. A 2W
This represents a 2 * stop loss gain = 2 * $180 = $360 gain
Portfolio is now: $9,360
Position sizing is: $2,340
Stop loss= 8% of $2,340 = $187
Do it again.
This time you hit a ten bagger. That's a 10* stop loss gain = 10* $187 =
$1,870 gain.
Portfolio is not at: $11,230
And so on.... draw out 100 times and note:
1) How much draw down your trading method has.
2) How many losing streaks and winning streaks you had.
3) How did you feel when your system was performing at its worst?
4) How did you feel when your system was performing at its best?
5) Play around with different position sizing rules. go from one extreme to
the other and you will be AMAZED at the equity swings your trading account
experiences and the total return on your trading account after 100 trades. This
should really drum into the importance that position sizing plays in your
trading plan.
Once you are comfortable with your trading method and know how
it performs trading for money becomes almost a "sure thing". Every system goes
through good, bad, so-so times. But as long as you are prepared for this and
adopt a professional trading approach with a proper trading plan, there really
is nothing to stop you from succeeding in your stock market career.
Get busy and get serious. Start playing the stock market game
now.
Sincerely
Mark Crisp
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